Levi Samuels Colwill — FPL Draft 2026-27 projection & rank

Career arc

Season by season — tap a season for detail

SeasonPtsPos rankGoalsAssistsMins

2026-27 proj ▸66DEF #61001,640

Barely played last season (225 min) — projected from his draft rank (#326)+65

Chelsea finished 10th in 2025-26 on 52 points, 6 places lower than 2024-25 (4th); 2023-24: 6th.context

2025-26 (8 pts) was well below his own recent seasons (65 and 109). The projection anchors to last season, so it reads that dip as his level. Of comparable cases, 55% went on to score MORE than we projected and 45% less — unusually uncertain, in both directions.context

Spread calibrated to match how outcomes actually vary+1

Points are last season’s total pulled 20% toward the positional average, then blended at equal weight with FPL’s published preseason rank. Neither number ranks players better than the other on its own — we measured that and it was a tie — but the combination won every opponent model in an 800-draft simulation, so we show the combination. The ranking evidence is a tie, not a win; the draft evidence is one season. Shrinking beat the raw total in 4 of 4 held-out seasons. Goals, assists and minutes are NOT projected for a returning player: those cells show his actual 2025-26 figures, labelled as such, because a backward-looking number under a forward-looking heading reads as a forecast whatever the tooltip says. The projected has beaten them. Rank is this player’s position among everyone we project for 2026-27 — a pool that excludes players who left and includes 69 new signings. Hover any cell for its basis. For a returning player this starts from last season’s actual total — in our own testing nothing we tried beat it. Newcomers, who have no last season here, are estimated from what players drafted around their rank have historically scored. Every adjustment is listed above, so you can disagree with one without discarding the number. Lines marked context are facts about what changed around this player over the summer — a transfer, his club’s trajectory, a departed creator. They are not part of the calculation and deliberately move nothing: we have tested nine different ways to improve on last season’s points and none of them worked, so we won’t invent a size for an effect we can’t measure. They are there because a drafter can weigh them and a model can’t. What this does and doesn’t claim.

2025-26 ▸8DEF #9000225

0.0

Bonus

Starts

Games

#341

Finish

#326

FPL rank

-15

Gap

GW	Opp	Min	Pts	G	A	Bon	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	CS	BPS	ICT	Infl	Creat	Threat	YC	RC	Tck	CBI	Rec	DC
GW1	CRY H	did not feature
GW1	CRY H	did not feature
GW2	WHU A	did not feature
GW2	WHU A	did not feature
GW3	FUL H	did not feature
GW3	FUL H	did not feature
GW4	BRE A	did not feature
GW4	BRE A	did not feature
GW5	MUN A	did not feature
GW5	MUN A	did not feature
GW6	BHA H	did not feature
GW6	BHA H	did not feature
GW7	LIV H	did not feature
GW7	LIV H	did not feature
GW8	NFO A	did not feature
GW8	NFO A	did not feature
GW9	SUN H	did not feature
GW9	SUN H	did not feature
GW10	TOT A	did not feature
GW10	TOT A	did not feature
GW11	WOL H	did not feature
GW11	WOL H	did not feature
GW12	BUR A	did not feature
GW12	BUR A	did not feature
GW13	ARS H	did not feature
GW13	ARS H	did not feature
GW14	LEE A	did not feature
GW14	LEE A	did not feature
GW15	BOU A	did not feature
GW15	BOU A	did not feature
GW16	EVE H	did not feature
GW16	EVE H	did not feature
GW17	NEW A	did not feature
GW17	NEW A	did not feature
GW18	AVL H	did not feature
GW18	AVL H	did not feature
GW19	BOU H	did not feature
GW19	BOU H	did not feature
GW20	MCI A	did not feature
GW20	MCI A	did not feature
GW21	FUL A	did not feature
GW21	FUL A	did not feature
GW22	BRE H	did not feature
GW22	BRE H	did not feature
GW23	CRY A	did not feature
GW23	CRY A	did not feature
GW24	WHU H	did not feature
GW24	WHU H	did not feature
GW25	WOL A	did not feature
GW25	WOL A	did not feature
GW26	LEE H	did not feature
GW26	LEE H	did not feature
GW27	BUR H	did not feature
GW27	BUR H	did not feature
GW28	ARS A	did not feature
GW28	ARS A	did not feature
GW29	AVL A	did not feature
GW29	AVL A	did not feature
GW30	NEW H	did not feature
GW30	NEW H	did not feature
GW31	EVE A	did not feature
GW31	EVE A	did not feature
GW32	MCI H	did not feature
GW32	MCI H	did not feature
GW33	MUN H	did not feature
GW33	BHA A	did not feature
GW33	MUN H	did not feature
GW33	BHA A	did not feature
GW34	—	no fixture
GW35	NFO H	45	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.96	0	4	1.5	7.8	4.7	2.0	0	0	1	0	3	1
GW35	NFO H	45	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.96	0	4	1.5	7.8	4.7	2.0	0	0	1	0	3	1
GW36	LIV A	90	4	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.56	0	14	2.9	27.0	1.7	0.0	0	0	1	10	1	11
GW37	TOT H	did not feature
GW38	SUN A	90	3	0	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.10	1.84	0	12	3.6	31.2	1.2	4.0	0	0	1	12	5	13

2024-25 ▸109DEF #22213,150

1.9

Bonus

Starts

3.1

Pts / 90

Games

#98

Finish

GW	Opp	Min	Pts	G	A	Bon	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	CS	BPS	ICT	Infl	Creat	Threat	YC	RC
GW1	MCI H	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.77	0	8	2.1	20.4	0.8	0.0	0	0
GW2	WOL A	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.92	0	10	2.2	21.2	0.4	0.0	0	0
GW3	CRY H	90	2	0	0	0	0.18	0.01	0.19	0.44	0	12	4.7	20.0	2.5	24.0	0	0
GW4	BOU A	90	5	0	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.15	1.78	1	21	4.0	21.8	17.9	0.0	1	0
GW5	WHU A	90	7	0	0	1	0.00	0.31	0.31	0.85	1	29	4.4	26.0	13.6	4.0	0	0
GW6	BHA H	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.11	0	4	1.8	17.8	0.3	0.0	0	0
GW7	NFO H	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.59	0	8	1.9	18.4	1.0	0.0	1	0
GW8	LIV A	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.94	0	4	0.9	7.4	1.3	0.0	0	0
GW9	NEW H	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.92	0	12	2.1	14.4	0.9	6.0	0	0
GW10	MUN A	90	2	0	0	0	0.01	0.27	0.28	1.98	0	8	2.1	14.2	1.0	6.0	0	0
GW11	ARS H	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.99	0	4	2.9	16.6	10.8	2.0	1	0
GW12	LEI A	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	1.11	0	8	1.7	12.6	2.3	2.0	0	0
GW13	AVL H	90	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.15	1	26	3.0	25.8	1.7	2.0	0	0
GW14	SOU A	did not feature
GW15	TOT A	90	1	0	0	0	0.19	0.01	0.20	2.90	0	3	3.0	20.4	0.9	9.0	0	0
GW16	BRE H	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.05	1.61	0	11	4.2	22.0	18.3	2.0	0	0
GW17	EVE A	90	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	1.03	1	24	1.4	11.6	2.2	0.0	0	0
GW18	FUL H	90	4	0	1	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	1.78	0	18	5.0	38.2	11.8	0.0	0	0
GW19	IPS A	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.13	1.58	0	5	5.5	22.6	30.6	2.0	1	0
GW20	CRY A	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	1.08	0	11	2.8	25.2	2.8	0.0	1	0
GW21	BOU H	90	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	0.05	1.18	0	7	2.7	11.8	10.7	4.0	0	0
GW22	WOL H	did not feature
GW23	MCI A	90	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	0.05	2.50	0	-8	0.5	0.2	0.5	4.0	1	0
GW24	WHU H	90	2	0	0	0	0.06	0.01	0.07	1.22	0	10	3.4	17.6	12.5	4.0	0	0
GW25	BHA A	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	1.42	0	1	2.8	25.8	2.2	0.0	0	0
GW26	AVL A	90	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2.33	0	6	2.1	12.2	3.3	5.0	0	0
GW27	SOU H	90	14	1	0	2	0.14	0.03	0.17	0.72	1	43	8.8	56.0	13.0	19.0	0	0
GW28	LEI H	90	6	0	0	0	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.10	1	24	3.4	13.2	14.5	6.0	0	0
GW29	ARS A	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.71	0	8	2.3	20.6	2.0	0.0	1	0
GW30	TOT H	90	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.79	1	22	2.0	16.6	1.8	2.0	0	0
GW31	BRE A	did not feature
GW32	IPS H	90	1	0	0	0	0.31	0.08	0.39	1.07	0	3	7.4	17.0	27.9	29.0	0	0
GW33	FUL A	90	1	0	0	0	0.29	0.00	0.29	0.25	0	5	2.7	10.8	0.3	16.0	1	0
GW34	EVE H	90	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.44	1	28	2.5	20.2	0.6	4.0	0	0
GW35	LIV H	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.05	0	14	1.6	16.0	0.3	0.0	0	0
GW36	NEW A	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.57	0	4	2.1	19.8	1.0	0.0	1	0
GW37	MUN H	90	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.29	1	26	1.5	13.2	1.3	0.0	0	0
GW38	NFO A	90	15	1	0	3	0.58	0.01	0.59	1.35	1	42	7.9	44.4	1.3	33.0	0	0

2023-24 ▸65DEF #60111,794

1.3

Bonus

Starts

3.3

Pts / 90

Games

#211

Finish

GW	Opp	Min	Pts	G	A	Bon	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	CS	BPS	ICT	Infl	Creat	Threat	YC	RC
GW1	LIV H	90	2	0	0	0	0.08	0.01	0.09	1.28	0	19	4.7	17.8	22.5	7.0	0	0
GW2	WHU A	90	1	0	0	0	0.13	0.02	0.15	1.80	0	10	2.3	7.4	5.0	11.0	0	0
GW3	LUT H	90	6	0	0	0	0.11	0.15	0.26	0.43	1	26	3.7	17.4	14.4	5.0	0	0
GW4	NFO H	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.71	0	12	1.2	7.4	2.6	2.0	0	0
GW5	BOU A	79	6	0	0	0	0.52	0.00	0.52	1.10	1	21	8.4	14.6	1.1	68.0	0	0
GW6	AVL H	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.04	0	18	2.5	24.8	0.6	0.0	0	0
GW7	FUL A	90	12	0	1	3	0.00	0.06	0.06	1.08	1	38	4.8	34.4	11.3	2.0	0	0
GW8	BUR A	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.75	0	20	1.9	13.4	3.4	2.0	0	0
GW9	ARS H	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.06	0	15	2.5	25.0	0.4	0.0	0	0
GW10	BRE H	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.03	2.16	0	17	2.3	16.0	4.8	2.0	0	0
GW11	TOT A	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.15	0	2	0.6	3.8	0.4	2.0	1	0
GW12	MCI H	did not feature
GW13	NEW A	15	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.35	0	-1	0.2	1.6	0.5	0.0	1	0
GW14	BHA H	90	7	1	0	0	0.25	0.00	0.25	1.02	0	22	7.8	44.2	1.0	33.0	0	0
GW15	MUN A	90	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.01	0.05	4.07	0	10	3.1	10.6	11.1	9.0	0	0
GW16	EVE A	63	1	0	0	0	0.06	0.02	0.08	1.01	0	13	3.6	17.6	12.1	6.0	0	0
GW17	SHU H	90	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.37	1	23	2.3	15.8	2.8	4.0	0	0
GW18	WOL A	78	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.98	0	15	1.3	11.4	1.5	0.0	0	0
GW19	CRY H	57	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.75	0	3	0.4	2.4	1.3	0.0	0	0
GW20	LUT A	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.53	0	10	2.0	19.0	0.6	0.0	0	0
GW21	FUL H	90	7	0	0	1	0.10	0.11	0.21	0.86	1	24	5.1	27.2	13.6	10.0	0	0
GW22	LIV A	did not feature
GW23	WOL H	did not feature
GW24	CRY A	29	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.19	0	3	0.3	3.0	0.1	0.0	0	0
GW25	MCI A	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.91	0	17	3.3	32.6	0.2	0.0	0	0
GW26	—	no fixture
GW27	BRE A	78	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	1.83	0	18	2.9	27.2	1.9	0.0	0	0
GW28	NEW H	did not feature
GW29	—	no fixture
GW30	BUR H	did not feature
GW31	MUN H	did not feature
GW32	SHU A	did not feature
GW33	EVE H	did not feature
GW34	ARS A	did not feature
GW35	AVL A	did not feature
GW35	TOT H	did not feature
GW36	WHU H	did not feature
GW37	NFO A	did not feature
GW37	BHA A	did not feature
GW38	BOU H	did not feature

2022-23 ▸46DEF #95021,218

1.4

Bonus

Starts

3.4

Pts / 90

Games

#275

Finish

GW	Opp	Min	Pts	G	A	Bon	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	CS	BPS	ICT	Infl	Creat	Threat	YC	RC
GW1	MUN A	1	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	3	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0	0
GW2	NEW H	did not feature
GW3	WHU A	did not feature
GW4	LEE H	11	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	4	0.5	4.4	0.3	0.0	0	0
GW5	FUL A	did not feature
GW6	LEI H	did not feature
GW7	—	no fixture
GW8	—	no fixture
GW9	LIV A	did not feature
GW10	TOT H	did not feature
GW11	BRE A	did not feature
GW12	NFO H	did not feature
GW13	MCI A	did not feature
GW14	CHE H	did not feature
GW15	WOL A	did not feature
GW16	AVL H	90	1	0	0	0	0.18	0.02	0.20	1.49	0	12	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0
GW17	SOU A	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.91	0	14	1.1	10.4	0.2	0.0	0	0
GW18	ARS H	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	2.88	0	15	1.8	13.0	4.5	0.0	0	0
GW19	EVE A	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.31	0	13	1.7	16.4	0.8	0.0	0	0
GW20	LIV H	90	8	0	0	2	0.00	0.10	0.10	1.03	1	32	4.1	17.4	23.7	0.0	0	0
GW21	LEI A	did not feature
GW22	BOU H	did not feature
GW23	CRY A	did not feature
GW24	FUL H	did not feature
GW25	—	no fixture
GW26	WHU H	did not feature
GW27	LEE A	did not feature
GW27	CRY H	90	7	0	0	1	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.20	1	26	1.4	12.0	1.5	0.0	0	0
GW28	—	no fixture
GW29	BRE H	90	1	0	0	0	0.18	0.03	0.00	1.50	0	8	2.3	8.8	4.0	10.0	0	0
GW29	BOU A	did not feature
GW30	TOT A	68	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.69	0	13	0.9	7.2	1.3	0.0	0	0
GW31	CHE A	did not feature
GW32	—	no fixture
GW33	NFO A	90	1	0	0	0	0.29	0.02	0.31	2.48	0	11	2.9	16.6	5.7	7.0	0	0
GW34	WOL H	did not feature
GW34	MUN H	15	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.07	0	2	2.1	9.2	10.0	2.0	1	0
GW35	EVE H	45	0	0	0	0	0.73	0.01	0.74	1.09	0	5	2.4	2.8	2.3	19.0	0	0
GW36	ARS A	90	7	0	0	1	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.84	1	32	3.9	28.4	10.6	0.0	0	0
GW36	NEW A	did not feature
GW37	SOU H	88	6	0	1	1	0.03	0.06	0.09	0.65	0	28	6.3	32.2	22.9	8.0	0	0
GW37	MCI H	90	6	0	1	1	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.78	0	22	3.7	26.4	10.8	0.0	0	0
GW38	AVL A	90	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.82	0	9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0

This season

2026-27 by gameweek — 0 pts from 1 played

GW1

Recent form

2025-26 by gameweek — last 8

GW31

GW32

GW33

—

GW34

GW35

GW36

GW37

GW38

Next gameweek (GW2)

2.2pts

FPL’s own estimate · fetched 28 Aug

Three horizons, two sources, and they do not convert into one another. This one is FPL’s estimate for one gameweek and it is what our waiver engine ranks on; the season figure above is ours for the whole season. Multiplying a one-week number by the weeks left does not give the season number, and the gap between them is not an error either. Why they cannot be reconciled.

See Levi Samuels Colwill in your league

Build your FPL Draft recap and get roster-aware waiver picks for your team.

Build my recap →