Alexander Isak — FPL Draft 2026-27 projection & rank

Career arc

Season by season — tap a season for detail

SeasonPtsPos rankGoalsAssistsMins

2026-27 proj ▸132FWD #732025-2612025-266942025-26

Last season's points+41

Pulled up toward the average FWD (60)+4

Blended with FPL's preseason rank (#5) — that slot has returned 165+60

Played 14/38 — a full season at that rate would be 285not applied — tested, made it worse

Liverpool finished 5th in 2025-26 on 60 points, 4 places lower than 2024-25 (1st); 2023-24: 3rd.context

Liverpool's leading assist provider last season (M.Salah, 7 assists) has left the club and is not in the 2026-27 pool. Players accounting for 14% of Liverpool's 2025-26 assists are no longer there.context

2025-26 (41 pts) was well below his own recent seasons (172 and 211). The projection anchors to last season, so it reads that dip as his level. Of comparable cases, 55% went on to score MORE than we projected and 45% less — unusually uncertain, in both directions.context

Spread calibrated to match how outcomes actually vary+27

Points are last season’s total pulled 20% toward the positional average, then blended at equal weight with FPL’s published preseason rank. Neither number ranks players better than the other on its own — we measured that and it was a tie — but the combination won every opponent model in an 800-draft simulation, so we show the combination. The ranking evidence is a tie, not a win; the draft evidence is one season. Shrinking beat the raw total in 4 of 4 held-out seasons. Goals, assists and minutes are NOT projected for a returning player: those cells show his actual 2025-26 figures, labelled as such, because a backward-looking number under a forward-looking heading reads as a forecast whatever the tooltip says. The projected has beaten them. Rank is this player’s position among everyone we project for 2026-27 — a pool that excludes players who left and includes 69 new signings. Hover any cell for its basis. For a returning player this starts from last season’s actual total — in our own testing nothing we tried beat it. Newcomers, who have no last season here, are estimated from what players drafted around their rank have historically scored. Every adjustment is listed above, so you can disagree with one without discarding the number. Lines marked context are facts about what changed around this player over the summer — a transfer, his club’s trajectory, a departed creator. They are not part of the calculation and deliberately move nothing: we have tested nine different ways to improve on last season’s points and none of them worked, so we won’t invent a size for an effect we can’t measure. They are there because a drafter can weigh them and a model can’t. What this does and doesn’t claim.

2025-26 ▸41FWD #931694

2.6

Bonus

Starts

5.3

Pts / 90

Games

#266

Finish

FPL rank

-261

Gap

GW	Opp	Min	Pts	G	A	Bon	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	CS	BPS	ICT	Infl	Creat	Threat	YC	RC	Tck	CBI	Rec	DC
GW1	AVL A	did not feature
GW1	AVL A	did not feature
GW1	BOU H	did not feature
GW2	LIV H	did not feature
GW2	LIV H	did not feature
GW2	NEW A	did not feature
GW3	LEE A	did not feature
GW3	LEE A	did not feature
GW3	ARS H	did not feature
GW4	BUR A	did not feature
GW4	BUR A	did not feature
GW5	EVE H	23	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0	5	0.7	2.4	0.3	4.0	0	0	1	0	2	3
GW5	EVE H	23	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0	5	0.7	2.4	0.3	4.0	0	0	1	0	2	3
GW6	CRY A	83	2	0	0	0	0.43	0.00	0.43	2.36	0	-5	0.9	0.0	1.2	15.0	0	0	0	0	4	4
GW6	CRY A	83	2	0	0	0	0.43	0.00	0.43	2.36	0	-5	0.9	0.0	1.2	15.0	0	0	0	0	4	4
GW7	CHE A	73	5	0	1	0	0.18	0.01	0.19	0.18	0	15	4.1	16.8	17.9	6.0	0	0	1	0	1	2
GW7	CHE A	73	5	0	1	0	0.18	0.01	0.19	0.18	0	15	4.1	16.8	17.9	6.0	0	0	1	0	1	2
GW8	MUN H	71	2	0	0	0	0.33	0.01	0.34	0.74	0	4	3.0	2.6	2.1	25.0	0	0	0	1	1	2
GW8	MUN H	71	2	0	0	0	0.33	0.01	0.34	0.74	0	4	3.0	2.6	2.1	25.0	0	0	0	1	1	2
GW9	BRE A	did not feature
GW9	BRE A	did not feature
GW10	AVL H	did not feature
GW10	AVL H	did not feature
GW11	MCI A	did not feature
GW11	MCI A	did not feature
GW12	NFO H	67	2	0	0	0	0.19	0.02	0.21	0.91	0	2	1.7	0.2	11.1	6.0	0	0	0	1	0	1
GW12	NFO H	67	2	0	0	0	0.19	0.02	0.21	0.91	0	2	1.7	0.2	11.1	6.0	0	0	0	1	0	1
GW13	WHU A	67	7	1	0	1	0.73	0.02	0.75	0.15	1	36	9.3	39.2	0.5	53.0	0	0	2	1	1	4
GW13	WHU A	67	7	1	0	1	0.73	0.02	0.75	0.15	1	36	9.3	39.2	0.5	53.0	0	0	2	1	1	4
GW14	SUN H	85	2	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.23	0	6	1.3	0.0	2.5	11.0	0	0	1	2	1	4
GW14	SUN H	85	2	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.23	0	6	1.3	0.0	2.5	11.0	0	0	1	2	1	4
GW15	LEE A	6	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.27	0	2	0.2	0.0	0.3	4.0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GW15	LEE A	6	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.27	0	2	0.2	0.0	0.3	4.0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GW16	BHA H	12	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.22	0	2	0.7	4.2	0.3	2.0	0	0	1	1	0	2
GW16	BHA H	12	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.22	0	2	0.7	4.2	0.3	2.0	0	0	1	1	0	2
GW17	TOT A	14	6	1	0	1	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	0	29	5.0	32.2	0.3	17.0	0	0	0	0	1	1
GW17	TOT A	14	6	1	0	1	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	0	29	5.0	32.2	0.3	17.0	0	0	0	0	1	1
GW18	WOL H	did not feature
GW18	WOL H	did not feature
GW19	LEE H	did not feature
GW19	LEE H	did not feature
GW20	FUL A	did not feature
GW20	FUL A	did not feature
GW21	ARS A	did not feature
GW21	ARS A	did not feature
GW22	BUR H	did not feature
GW22	BUR H	did not feature
GW23	BOU A	did not feature
GW23	BOU A	did not feature
GW24	NEW H	did not feature
GW24	NEW H	did not feature
GW25	MCI H	did not feature
GW25	MCI H	did not feature
GW26	SUN A	did not feature
GW26	SUN A	did not feature
GW27	NFO A	did not feature
GW27	NFO A	did not feature
GW28	WHU H	did not feature
GW28	WHU H	did not feature
GW29	WOL A	did not feature
GW29	WOL A	did not feature
GW30	TOT H	did not feature
GW30	TOT H	did not feature
GW31	BHA A	did not feature
GW31	BHA A	did not feature
GW32	FUL H	21	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.45	0	1	0.9	8.0	1.1	0.0	0	0	0	2	0	2
GW32	FUL H	21	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.45	0	1	0.9	8.0	1.1	0.0	0	0	0	2	0	2
GW33	EVE A	71	2	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	0.12	0.78	0	6	2.2	2.0	0.5	19.0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GW33	EVE A	71	2	0	0	0	0.12	0.00	0.12	0.78	0	6	2.2	2.0	0.5	19.0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GW34	CRY H	78	8	1	0	2	0.43	0.00	0.43	1.96	0	33	5.8	36.6	0.8	21.0	0	0	0	2	1	3
GW34	CRY H	78	8	1	0	2	0.43	0.00	0.43	1.96	0	33	5.8	36.6	0.8	21.0	0	0	0	2	1	3
GW35	MUN A	did not feature
GW35	MUN A	did not feature
GW36	CHE H	23	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.09	0	4	1.1	2.2	0.3	8.0	0	0	1	0	1	2
GW37	AVL A	did not feature
GW38	BRE H	did not feature

2024-25 ▸211FWD #12362,758

20.3

Bonus

Starts

6.9

Pts / 90

Games

Finish

GW	Opp	Min	Pts	G	A	Bon	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	CS	BPS	ICT	Infl	Creat	Threat	YC	RC
GW1	SOU H	90	5	0	1	0	0.00	0.08	0.08	1.77	1	22	4.2	25.6	10.8	6.0	0	0
GW2	BOU A	90	2	0	0	0	0.26	0.03	0.29	2.23	0	8	6.7	6.6	11.6	49.0	0	0
GW3	TOT H	90	9	1	0	3	1.00	0.01	1.01	1.26	0	32	8.1	34.6	1.3	45.0	0	0
GW4	WOL A	45	1	0	0	0	0.06	0.16	0.22	0.63	0	1	2.1	0.6	15.4	5.0	0	0
GW5	FUL A	90	2	0	0	0	0.09	0.02	0.11	2.29	0	5	3.3	9.6	12.8	11.0	0	0
GW6	MCI H	did not feature
GW7	EVE A	did not feature
GW8	BHA H	90	2	0	0	0	0.81	0.19	1.00	1.12	0	9	11.8	17.8	25.0	75.0	0	0
GW9	CHE A	90	6	1	0	0	1.21	0.09	1.30	1.64	0	22	10.1	32.2	12.8	56.0	0	0
GW10	ARS H	90	9	1	0	3	0.29	0.04	0.33	1.05	1	36	6.9	36.6	4.6	28.0	0	0
GW11	NFO A	90	11	1	1	2	0.55	0.24	0.79	0.63	0	34	13.6	52.6	35.0	48.0	0	0
GW12	WHU H	90	2	0	0	0	0.71	0.03	0.74	0.91	0	-3	4.1	0.0	15.8	31.0	0	0
GW13	CRY A	21	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0	0	0
GW14	LIV H	90	11	1	1	2	0.12	0.36	0.48	1.99	0	42	13.3	57.0	58.3	18.0	0	0
GW15	BRE A	90	8	1	0	2	0.49	0.53	1.02	1.23	0	40	10.7	39.4	26.1	41.0	0	0
GW16	LEI H	72	11	1	1	2	1.42	0.22	1.64	0.19	1	54	18.9	66.6	43.0	79.0	0	0
GW17	IPS A	72	17	3	0	3	1.53	0.20	1.73	0.63	1	92	23.4	111.4	29.7	93.0	0	0
GW18	AVL H	90	8	1	0	2	0.93	0.11	1.04	0.34	1	32	17.6	44.2	50.4	81.0	0	0
GW19	MUN A	90	7	1	0	1	0.83	0.06	0.89	0.90	1	31	12.7	46.2	26.4	54.0	0	0
GW20	TOT A	85	7	1	0	2	1.41	0.02	1.43	0.77	0	30	9.7	37.4	16.8	43.0	1	0
GW21	WOL H	77	16	2	1	3	0.77	0.20	0.97	0.81	1	69	14.1	81.6	17.2	42.0	0	0
GW22	BOU H	90	2	0	0	0	0.06	0.07	0.13	2.26	0	10	3.6	11.4	12.3	12.0	0	0
GW23	SOU A	78	13	2	0	3	1.50	0.25	1.75	0.66	0	67	17.0	78.6	15.2	76.0	0	0
GW24	FUL H	90	2	0	0	0	0.04	0.20	0.24	1.56	0	2	4.1	5.8	22.9	12.0	0	0
GW25	MCI A	89	2	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1.90	0	8	1.3	1.8	2.3	9.0	0	0
GW26	NFO H	86	13	2	0	3	0.97	0.01	0.98	1.60	0	57	12.7	75.0	3.0	49.0	0	0
GW27	LIV A	did not feature
GW28	WHU A	78	2	0	0	0	0.36	0.03	0.39	0.40	1	-3	1.3	0.0	2.6	13.0	0	0
GW29	—	no fixture
GW30	BRE H	65	8	1	0	2	0.56	0.01	0.57	1.21	0	28	10.6	37.2	13.2	56.0	0	0
GW31	LEI A	71	2	0	0	0	0.16	0.05	0.21	0.24	1	3	1.2	0.0	2.1	12.0	0	0
GW32	MUN H	77	5	0	1	0	0.35	0.20	0.55	0.37	0	20	6.9	22.0	15.8	31.0	0	0
GW32	CRY H	71	6	1	0	0	0.90	0.00	0.90	1.68	1	24	9.0	34.0	2.1	54.0	0	0
GW33	AVL A	75	2	0	0	0	0.05	0.01	0.06	2.11	0	7	4.4	5.2	12.2	27.0	0	0
GW34	IPS H	76	6	1	0	0	1.46	0.07	1.53	0.10	1	25	8.1	27.8	8.3	45.0	0	0
GW35	BHA A	90	9	1	0	3	0.91	0.04	0.95	0.69	0	32	9.7	38.2	35.3	23.0	0	0
GW36	CHE H	90	2	0	0	0	0.32	0.03	0.35	0.69	1	6	7.1	1.6	3.4	66.0	0	0
GW37	ARS A	did not feature
GW38	EVE H	90	2	0	0	0	0.17	0.03	0.20	0.99	0	3	4.4	4.4	9.1	30.0	0	0

2023-24 ▸172FWD #42142,253

20.2

Bonus

Starts

6.9

Pts / 90

Games

#14

Finish

GW	Opp	Min	Pts	G	A	Bon	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	CS	BPS	ICT	Infl	Creat	Threat	YC	RC
GW1	AVL H	67	13	2	0	3	0.76	0.02	0.78	1.50	0	51	13.2	68.4	2.7	61.0	0	0
GW2	MCI A	65	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.81	0	7	0.4	0.6	1.8	2.0	0	0
GW3	LIV H	71	2	0	0	0	0.16	0.02	0.18	0.40	1	5	3.3	3.2	10.8	19.0	0	0
GW4	BHA A	73	2	0	0	0	0.48	0.03	0.51	1.32	0	7	2.4	2.0	1.7	20.0	0	0
GW5	BRE H	did not feature
GW6	SHU A	20	5	1	0	0	0.61	0.02	0.63	0.21	0	27	6.3	36.8	0.8	25.0	0	0
GW7	BUR H	90	6	1	0	0	1.83	0.03	1.86	0.65	1	22	14.0	42.6	24.8	73.0	0	0
GW8	WHU A	85	13	2	0	3	1.60	0.01	1.61	1.14	0	51	14.6	66.8	3.3	76.0	0	0
GW9	CRY H	20	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.82	0	3	1.3	2.6	10.3	0.0	0	0
GW10	WOL A	did not feature
GW11	ARS H	did not feature
GW12	BOU A	did not feature
GW13	CHE H	80	8	1	0	2	0.64	0.01	0.65	0.58	0	25	5.1	30.6	1.8	19.0	0	0
GW14	MUN H	90	2	0	0	0	0.34	0.64	0.98	0.36	1	11	4.3	4.0	20.1	19.0	0	0
GW15	EVE A	90	2	0	0	0	0.45	0.01	0.46	3.23	0	1	2.6	0.0	12.3	14.0	0	0
GW16	TOT A	63	2	0	0	0	0.77	0.06	0.83	2.30	0	3	0.8	0.0	1.3	7.0	0	0
GW17	FUL H	did not feature
GW18	LUT A	52	1	0	0	0	0.00	0.20	0.20	0.56	0	4	2.4	8.6	13.8	2.0	0	0
GW19	NFO H	90	7	1	0	1	1.35	0.15	1.50	3.46	0	30	19.3	56.4	34.8	102.0	0	0
GW20	LIV A	90	6	1	0	0	0.25	0.03	0.28	7.27	0	29	7.1	38.6	13.7	19.0	0	0
GW21	MCI H	90	6	1	0	0	0.78	0.02	0.80	2.84	0	23	11.4	41.0	1.8	71.0	0	0
GW22	AVL A	42	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.01	0.05	0.02	0	3	1.9	0.2	10.7	8.0	0	0
GW23	LUT H	did not feature
GW24	NFO A	did not feature
GW25	BOU H	did not feature
GW26	ARS A	63	2	0	0	0	0.04	0.01	0.05	2.03	0	5	0.8	0.0	0.6	8.0	0	0
GW27	WOL H	69	8	1	0	2	0.70	0.01	0.71	0.61	1	30	8.0	36.4	1.2	42.0	0	0
GW28	CHE A	90	6	1	0	0	0.09	0.03	0.12	1.67	0	26	6.4	33.6	12.5	18.0	0	0
GW29	—	no fixture
GW30	WHU H	90	15	2	1	3	1.87	0.20	2.07	1.42	0	62	15.8	82.8	27.0	48.0	1	0
GW31	EVE H	90	8	1	0	2	1.34	0.26	1.60	1.42	0	26	12.4	48.4	26.2	49.0	0	0
GW32	FUL A	90	2	0	0	0	0.27	0.01	0.28	1.27	1	3	6.8	16.0	11.5	40.0	0	0
GW33	TOT H	90	12	2	0	2	1.51	0.02	1.53	0.73	1	50	13.9	64.2	13.8	61.0	0	0
GW34	CRY A	90	2	0	0	0	0.06	0.04	0.10	0.88	0	11	4.0	11.8	14.8	13.0	0	0
GW35	SHU H	90	13	2	0	3	1.22	0.09	1.31	1.48	0	50	16.3	73.6	24.2	65.0	0	0
GW36	BUR A	76	7	1	1	0	1.64	0.08	1.72	0.68	1	28	12.6	40.4	11.8	74.0	0	0
GW37	BHA H	67	2	0	0	0	0.20	0.01	0.21	1.18	0	3	2.8	3.0	1.8	23.0	0	0
GW37	MUN A	90	2	0	0	0	0.34	0.15	0.49	1.44	0	-1	5.4	5.2	25.9	23.0	0	0
GW38	BRE A	80	14	1	2	2	0.88	0.49	1.37	1.13	0	50	13.7	59.6	24.7	53.0	0	0

2022-23 ▸100FWD #161021,520

5.9 — 10 scored, above it

Bonus

Starts

5.9

Pts / 90

Games

#105

Finish

GW	Opp	Min	Pts	G	A	Bon	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	CS	BPS	ICT	Infl	Creat	Threat	YC	RC
GW1	NFO H	did not feature
GW2	BHA A	did not feature
GW3	MCI H	did not feature
GW4	WOL A	did not feature
GW5	LIV A	63	7	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	26	5.3	34.2	0.8	18.0	0	0
GW6	CRY H	90	2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	-3	9.6	9.4	10.8	76.0	0	0
GW7	—	no fixture
GW8	BOU H	90	9	1	0	3	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	35	12.9	46.8	23.3	59.0	0	0
GW9	FUL A	did not feature
GW10	BRE H	did not feature
GW11	MUN A	did not feature
GW12	EVE H	did not feature
GW13	TOT A	did not feature
GW14	AVL H	did not feature
GW15	SOU A	did not feature
GW16	CHE H	did not feature
GW17	LEI A	did not feature
GW18	LEE H	did not feature
GW19	ARS A	did not feature
GW20	FUL H	19	8	1	0	3	0.75	0.02	0.77	0.09	0	26	8.1	35.6	10.8	35.0	0	0
GW21	CRY A	21	1	0	0	0	0.23	0.00	0.23	0.10	0	-2	3.6	4.0	10.5	21.0	0	0
GW22	WHU H	did not feature
GW23	BOU A	90	2	0	0	0	0.08	0.03	0.11	1.83	0	3	6.9	10.2	26.9	32.0	0	0
GW24	LIV H	63	2	0	0	0	0.31	0.02	0.33	1.62	0	5	2.0	3.8	2.0	14.0	0	0
GW25	—	no fixture
GW26	MCI A	28	1	0	0	0	0.13	0.02	0.15	0.28	0	7	5.2	8.0	4.3	40.0	0	0
GW27	WOL H	67	7	1	0	2	0.40	0.04	0.44	0.33	1	26	8.9	40.6	1.4	47.0	1	0
GW28	NFO A	90	13	2	0	3	1.51	0.01	1.52	0.38	0	54	15.9	75.0	13.0	71.0	0	0
GW29	MUN H	79	2	0	0	0	0.40	0.29	0.00	0.26	1	7	9.5	13.4	35.0	47.0	0	0
GW29	WHU A	26	6	1	0	1	0.07	0.01	0.00	0.03	0	27	4.8	35.2	1.7	11.0	0	0
GW30	BRE A	86	5	1	0	0	0.31	0.03	0.34	2.25	0	20	6.5	30.8	7.9	26.0	1	0
GW31	AVL A	90	2	0	0	0	0.08	0.01	0.09	1.93	0	4	4.3	8.2	6.3	28.0	0	0
GW32	TOT H	65	13	2	0	3	0.47	0.02	0.49	0.68	0	52	11.9	65.0	2.3	52.0	0	0
GW33	EVE A	16	1	0	0	0	0.14	0.04	0.18	0.01	0	6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0
GW34	SOU H	90	7	0	1	2	0.00	0.44	0.44	0.83	0	32	7.9	29.6	45.8	4.0	0	0
GW35	ARS H	90	2	0	0	0	0.24	0.17	0.41	1.20	0	6	3.8	5.2	13.4	19.0	0	0
GW36	LEE A	90	5	0	1	0	0.05	0.02	0.07	2.06	0	12	2.7	7.2	6.1	14.0	0	0
GW36	BHA H	90	2	0	0	0	0.14	0.02	0.16	0.40	0	6	4.8	9.4	11.5	27.0	0	0
GW37	LEI H	90	1	0	0	0	0.35	0.06	0.41	0.07	1	2	4.3	0.0	9.6	34.0	1	0
GW38	CHE A	87	2	0	0	0	0.24	0.02	0.26	1.63	0	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0

This season

2026-27 by gameweek — 2 pts from 1 played

GW1

Recent form

2025-26 by gameweek — last 8

GW31

GW32

GW33

GW34

GW35

GW36

GW37

GW38

Next gameweek (GW2)

2.7pts

FPL’s own estimate · fetched 28 Aug

Three horizons, two sources, and they do not convert into one another. This one is FPL’s estimate for one gameweek and it is what our waiver engine ranks on; the season figure above is ours for the whole season. Multiplying a one-week number by the weeks left does not give the season number, and the gap between them is not an error either. Why they cannot be reconciled.

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